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    2050 planning and all of that

    Woodcarrier

    World demographics fascinate me. Fascinate as in watching a horror move unfold. The more I read the more I ask myself what G7 leaders and their systems are truly planning as far ahead as 2050? Maybe it’s just the cynic in me but the normal democratic convention for political leaders is to think as far ahead as the next election – which is a maximum of 5 years in most democracies. NGO’s and Quango’s and even the non-elected civil servants of the G7 produce report after report on the future population growth, energy, food and water requirements projected out to 2050.

    Those sharp eyes will be thinking they have seen a typo and instead of G7 it should be G8. Truth be told, the omission of Russia was on purpose becuase I think it is them and the other major players in the G20 such as China, India and to a lesser extent Brazil, that are the long-term thinkers in the world to-day. The Saudis could creep in under the rug as well as they know, or at least one presumes they do, the extent of their oil and gas reserves. Possibly one of the rationales of the G7 with their short-thinking “strategy” is that military prowess, economic might and their historical legacy can win the day.

    Regardless of strategy, I am open ears to hear some answers.

    For example it’s predicted that by 2030, never mind 2050, the world will need to produce around 50 per cent more food and energy, together with 30 per cent more fresh water, whilst adapting to climate change.
    The key questions for leaders and policy-makers (they’re not usually the same!) are:

    • Can 9 billion people be fed healthily and sustainably – never mind equally?
    • Can we cope with the future demands on water?
    • Can we provide enough energy to supply the growing population coming out of poverty?
    • Can we do all this whilst mitigating and adapting to climate change?

    I’ll look at some individual country stats tomorrow to widen these questions.

    (stats taken from http://www.bis.gov.uk/assets/bispartners/goscience/docs/p/perfect-storm-paper...

    • 14 April 2011
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  • About Des Clark

    mountains, photography, humanitarian issues, jesus and whatever else comes to mind...

    this is my private site and the views expressed herein are my own and are not reflected in other websites that I manage

    des clark is a participant in the Amazon EU Associates Programme, an affiliate advertising programme designed to provide a means for sites to earn advertising fees by advertising and linking to Amazon.co.uk

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